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The Newsweek Poll:
Bush Makes No Inroads
 
While the GOP campaign founders, Gore solidifies his lead   Gore
Student support: Al Gore campaigns at Howard University Sept. 15
 
By Yuval Rosenberg
NEWSWEEK WEB EXCLUSIVE
September 16 —  Democratic presidential nominee Al Gore leads Republican rival George W. Bush by twelve points, according to a new Newsweek poll conducted Sept. 14 and 15. Among registered voters, Gore holds a 50 percent to 38 percent advantage, statistically unchanged from his 47-to-39 percent edge in last week’s poll.

   
 
       
   
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This week, 23 percent of registered voters say they haven’t made up their mind on how to vote, compared with 30 percent last week.

       (The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus four points.) Among likely voters, Gore’s margin stands at 14 points (52 percent to 38 percent for Bush). Third-party candidates Ralph Nader and Pat Buchanan draw three and two percent, respectively.
        With the Olympics and baseball’s upcoming World Series likely to push the presidential campaign out of the media spotlight, the heated campaigning of recent weeks may already have begun to crystallize voters’ opinions of the candidates.
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Decision 2000 section
This week, 23 percent of registered voters say they haven’t made up their mind on how to vote, compared with 30 percent last week.
        Gore’s advantage extends across a wide swath of demographic groups, but his support remains strongest among women, minorities and older Americans. The vice president leads among women, 55 percent to 35 percent. He is statistically tied with Bush among men, 44 percent to 41 percent. Minorities, including Hispanics, African-Americans, Asians and others, prefer Gore by a margin of 69 percent to 15 percent. And among voters aged 50 and older, Gore leads 53 percent to 38 percent. Gore also leads among college-educated voters (48 percent to 38 percent) as well as those with high school education or less (50 percent to 36 percent).
       The increasingly negative tone of the campaigning may also be shifting perceptions of the candidates’ honesty.
Barometer: What's Hot and What's Not in Campaign 2000
Gore is described as “honest and ethical” by 57 percent of those polled this week, down from the 61 percent who said the same of him last week. The percentage who see Bush as honest and ethical has also fallen, from 60 percent in late August and 56 percent last week down to 53 percent this week.
Campaign 2000

       As the Republican’s campaign struggles to right itself and retake the offensive, perceptions of Bush’s leadership have been hurt too. This week, 59 percent of voters say the Texas governor has “strong leadership qualities,” compared with 65 percent last week and 72 percent following the Republican National Convention in early August.
        The NEWSWEEK poll of 853 registered voters was conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Of those voters, 580 identified themselves as likely voters.
       
       © 2000 Newsweek, Inc.
       
 
       
   
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