| June 20 — From coral reefs to rainforests, diseases are spreading among marine and land animals — including humans — and global warming appears to be a major factor, researchers reported Thursday in the journal Science. The study, said to be the first to analyze disease epidemics across entire plant and animal systems, bolsters climate models that have factored in the possibility of a warmer Earth creating a sicker planet. |
“WHAT IS MOST
surprising is the fact that climate sensitive outbreaks are happening with so
many different types of pathogens — viruses, bacteria, fungi, and parasites
— as well as in such a wide range of hosts including corals, oysters,
terrestrial plants, birds and humans,” lead author Drew Harvell, a Cornell
University biologist, said in a statement.
The researchers said they felt that common
traits are likely linked to global warming. “Climate change is disrupting
natural ecosystems in a way that is making life better for infectious
diseases,” stated Andrew Dobson, a Princeton University epidemiologist. “The
accumulation of evidence has us extremely worried. We share diseases with some
of these species. The risk for humans is going up.”
The study tracked both
causes and carriers of diseases that develop more rapidly with slight rises in
temperature. It found that as temperatures increase, carriers are likely to
spread into new areas where they could devastate species that have not been
previously exposed.
In the statement accompanying the study,
the scientists cited these examples of disease outbreaks tied to climate change:
Expanding range of disease carriers due to temperature. Honeycreepers,
forest songbirds that evolved only in Hawaii, are being decimated by malaria
from mosquitoes that have been able to range higher in elevation due to warmer
temperatures. “Today there are no native birds below 4,500 feet,” said
Dobson.
Expanding range of carriers due to moisture. Rift Valley Fever, a deadly
viral illness spread by mosquitoes, is strongly linked to heavy rains, which
trigger mosquito explosions. “There is clear evidence that Rift Valley Fever
outbreaks are linked to El Niño years and we expect an increase in the
frequency of El Niños with climate change,” stated coauthor Richard Ostfeld,
a researcher at the Institute of Ecosystem Studies in Millbrook, N.Y.
Increased susceptibility to disease. Coral reefs have become susceptible
to disease once they are stressed by warmer sea temperatures. The researchers
isolated one fungus threatening Caribbean sea fans and found that it grows
fastest at exactly the temperature at which many of the corals in the Florida
Keys start to bleach, a stress-created condition that turns coral white and can
eventually lead to die-offs.
Expanding range of carriers in winter. Warmer winter temperatures can
also affect ranges of diseases and carriers. A winter warming trend in the
mid-1990s allowed a parasite to spread north to Maine’s oysters, the
researchers noted.
MORE
STUDIES URGED
The researchers urged other experts to consider that diseases in their specialty
might share a common link in global warming.
“This isn’t just a question of coral
bleaching for a few marine ecologists, nor just a question of malaria for a few
health officials — the number of similar increases in disease incidence is
astonishing,” said Ostfeld. “We don’t want to be alarmist, but we are
alarmed.”
The authors
said they expect others to question their findings, in part because the issue of
climate change and diseases has had very little monitoring and few long-term
studies.
An immediate critic was Sherwood Idso, head
of the Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change. He said the
Science paper was based largely on speculation and presented “no concrete
examples that these things will happen in the real world.”
The authors urged the scientific community
to tackle the issue head on with more research and gathering of statistics.
“We need to pay better attention to this
issue in an increasingly unnatural world,” stated Dobson.
MSNBC.com’s Miguel Llanos and The
Associated Press contributed to this report.